docs(adr): 0002 projection model — sustained regime, categorical confidence; glossary terms for regime, habit change, scenario range, coverage

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xavierk
2026-08-31 15:38:41 +05:30
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@@ -43,3 +43,19 @@ _Avoid_: Counter reset handling, drive swap detection
**Endurance baseline**:
The write-endurance value a projection consumes: a verified rated-TBW override stored with provenance when one exists, otherwise a coarse implied baseline derived from vendor wear and labeled as such.
_Avoid_: TBW value, failure threshold, max writes
**Sustained regime**:
The most recent stretch of the observation history over which the observed usage habit has been stable; the interval whose write rate the usage-adjusted theoretical lifespan consumes.
_Avoid_: Current window, detection period
**Habit change**:
A sustained divergence between recent and earlier daily write rates that starts a new sustained regime.
_Avoid_: Spike, anomaly
**Scenario range**:
The spread of lifespan projections computed from the 7-, 28-, and 90-day horizons of the observation history, shown in place of a statistical interval.
_Avoid_: Confidence interval, error bar
**Coverage**:
The share of wall-clock seconds inside monitoring periods whose usage-habit classification is known rather than unknown.
_Avoid_: Uptime, sample count