feat(#73): publish trustworthy first usage history

- Schema migration 1-2: add segment_id to samples, unattributed bytes to day_aggregates

- Collector now derives hour observations and day aggregates from sample pairs

- Cross-hour deltas tracked as unattributed (no proportional allocation)

- Display states: 0 samples -> awaiting first, 1 sample -> awaiting another

- Monitoring period ensured open on each collection run

- Derivation failures preserve prior history

Closes #73

src/fenris/status.py

@@ -331,7 +331,8 @@ def check_retired_flag(flag: str) -> Optional[str]:
 def _format_projection(proj, freshness: str, service: Dict[str, Any],
                        drive_facts: List[str], config_error: Optional[str],
                        store_fault: Optional[str], newer_schema: Optional[str],
-                       journal_hint: Optional[str]) -> str:
+                       journal_hint: Optional[str],
+                       sample_count: int = 0, day_count: int = 0) -> str:
     """Format the complete status output."""
     lines = []
 
@@ -361,6 +362,16 @@ def _format_projection(proj, freshness: str, service: Dict[str, Any],
         _append_service_facts(lines, service)
         return "\n".join(lines)
 
+    # --- Single sample: awaiting another sample (issue #73 AC3) ---
+    # Only show awaiting state when there are no day aggregates (e.g., legacy import
+    # or hand-crafted stores can have 1 sample but sufficient day data for projection)
+    if sample_count <= 1 and day_count == 0:
+        lines.append("awaiting another sample")
+        lines.append("")
+        lines.append("Collecting usage data — the first projection requires at least two samples.")
+        _append_service_facts(lines, service)
+        return "\n".join(lines)
+
     # --- Projection headline ---
     headline = _format_headline(proj)
     lines.append(headline)
@@ -598,6 +609,17 @@ def get_status(store_path: Optional[Path] = None, clock_now: Optional[datetime]
 
     freshness = grade_freshness(newest_ts, clock_now)
 
+    # --- Sample count for single-sample state (issue #73 AC3) ---
+    sample_count = 0
+    day_count = 0
+    try:
+        cursor = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM samples")
+        sample_count = cursor.fetchone()[0]
+        cursor = conn.execute("SELECT COUNT(*) FROM day_aggregates")
+        day_count = cursor.fetchone()[0]
+    except sqlite3.Error:
+        pass
+
     # Freshness age for the service fact
     freshness_age_s = None
     if newest_ts:
@@ -637,7 +659,7 @@ def get_status(store_path: Optional[Path] = None, clock_now: Optional[datetime]
     # --- Compose output ---
     result = _format_projection(
         proj, freshness, service, drive_facts, config_error,
-        None, None, journal_hint,
+        None, None, journal_hint, sample_count, day_count,
     )
 
     conn.close()